Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003800 0.003986 0.004176 0.004385 0.004609 0.004843 0.005105
2025-11-02 0.003457 0.003730 0.004021 0.004354 0.004728 0.005136 0.005616
2025-11-09 0.003303 0.003634 0.003997 0.004425 0.004922 0.005482 0.006168
2025-11-16 0.003127 0.003491 0.003898 0.004392 0.004978 0.005658 0.006516
2025-11-23 0.002997 0.003388 0.003834 0.004385 0.005054 0.005850 0.006882
2025-11-30 0.002856 0.003263 0.003733 0.004324 0.005055 0.005943 0.007123
2025-12-07 0.002738 0.003157 0.003648 0.004274 0.005062 0.006038 0.007365
2025-12-14 0.002655 0.003088 0.003602 0.004267 0.005118 0.006193 0.007687
2025-12-21 0.002523 0.002954 0.003471 0.004146 0.005022 0.006144 0.007731
2025-12-28 0.002465 0.002908 0.003445 0.004157 0.005094 0.006314 0.008078
2026-01-04 0.002427 0.002885 0.003446 0.004200 0.005207 0.006543 0.008515
2026-01-11 0.002360 0.002822 0.003395 0.004170 0.005221 0.006636 0.008763
2026-01-18 0.002299 0.002767 0.003350 0.004150 0.005247 0.006747 0.009046
2026-01-25 0.002238 0.002709 0.003301 0.004121 0.005260 0.006840 0.009305
2026-02-01 0.002220 0.002705 0.003322 0.004187 0.005406 0.007127 0.009873
2026-02-08 0.002164 0.002651 0.003275 0.004156 0.005413 0.007211 0.010131
2026-02-15 0.002122 0.002612 0.003246 0.004150 0.005454 0.007345 0.010475
2026-02-22 0.002062 0.002550 0.003183 0.004094 0.005418 0.007363 0.010629
2026-03-01 0.002010 0.002494 0.003129 0.004047 0.005396 0.007398 0.010812
2026-03-08 0.001974 0.002461 0.003103 0.004040 0.005431 0.007523 0.011150
2026-03-15 0.001902 0.002378 0.003006 0.003929 0.005305 0.007389 0.011040
2026-03-22 0.001877 0.002356 0.002994 0.003939 0.005362 0.007547 0.011443
2026-03-29 0.001862 0.002350 0.003003 0.003978 0.005466 0.007783 0.011998